Poker Statistics: Contbet (continuation bet)

If on the previous round you were the last person to bet or raise, or re – raise, and the next round you place a bet as well, it is called a continuation bet. This indicator shows how often your opponent who last raised on the pre – flop, makes a continuation bet on the flop. The indicator usually is expressed as a percentage and the maximum is 65-75 %. In case your opponent shows lower percentage than the aforementioned, most probably he places bets with strong hands and you need to be very careful with him. In case the percentage is higher, most probably he is bluffing too often.

Why do you need a continuation bet? At this stage of the game it is not very important why made a raise or re – raise during the pre – flop, the only important thing now is that you did not win the pot i.e. the amount of money you have bet is not yours anymore and you are enter the flop as a leader! Of course, if you have a strong combination such as over pair, top pair or higher, it is obvious why you need a contbet – you have every reason in the world. The problem occurs in case you don’t improve your hand on the flop or the flop looks dangerous. On the other hand, your opponents do not know how strong is your hand at the moment and after the pre – flop raise, the contbet will really disturb them and they will allow you to win the pot even if they have better hands than yours. If you place bets only when the flop improves your hand and you don’t bet when it doesn’t or it looks dangerous, your opponents will read your strategy very easy and every time you don’t bet on the flop, they will try to steal the pot, since they will know that you don’t have anything. This way the contbet may be used to make your game less readable. Of course, the opponents should have very good reasons to answer your contbet since they know that they are playing against hand which strength is already declared on the pre – flop and confirmed on the flop.

Poker Statistics: Aggression Factor (AF)

The Aggression factor is to be defined as a ratio of the number of the post- flop actions such as bets and raises to the number of calls. Bear in mind that checks and folds are not be taken into account. Players need to take into consideration the total aggression as well as the aggression on the different streets – flop, turn, and river. Usually AF is greater on the flop and on the turn and the river it decreases. In case your opponent’s AF increases on the river, you need to be very careful, since he may be willing to use slowplay with his strong hands. A non- aggressive opponent most likely won’t bet and in order to win, you need to bet yourself. A very aggressive opponent is willing to bet even with a bad hand, using a pure bluff. Against such an opponent, when you have a strong hand, you may check – raise or even check –call.

It is impossible to recommend maintaining a certain level of aggression since different successful players have different aggressions. But no matter what, the aggression should be not lower than 1,5. In short stack games the aggression should be higher, since only the strong hands are played. Besides, there are played always actively – raise on the pre –flop and in most cases it ended during the flop – turn with fold or all – in. But bear in mind that you can lose very easy if you bet often on weak hands and your AF is 5 or higher. With a big stack usually more hands are played, there is an opportunity for limp or call with low pairs in order to form a set, with suited connectors etc. In case you haven’t managed to form a better combination with these type of hands on the flop, you are to play check – fold and your aggression factor becomes lower.

Poker Statistics: Poker post flop statistic indicators

Poker post flop has its own statistic indicators but in order to get the full picture relative to your opponent, they should be taken into consideration together with the pre – flop stat indicators.

Poker Statistics: Some additional indicators

3 – bet indicator shows how often the opponent answers with re- raise to someone’s bet. It allows you to determine the range of 3 – bet hands and to determine with what hands you can answer to this 3 – bet.

Fold to 3 – bet indicator shows how often your opponent answers with a fold to a re – raise. Together with PFR this indicator can give you pretty good picture about the possibility to steal your opponent’s bet (in case he often folds to a re – raise and you can afford to play loose) as well as to make him pay your raise when you have weaker hand.

Cold Call indicator shows how often the opponent enters the game by calling someone else’s raise. If this indicator is higher than 7 %, you can consider yourself a very lucky man since you have an opponent ready to lose. But you should not use a lot of bluffing even during the post flop since he is not willing to fold. A short stack tight – aggressive player should have Cold Call indicator equal to zero.

Limp-Call (Call Pre – flop Raise) indicator shows how often a player who enters with a limp, answers to someone’s raise. The higher this indicator, the better for you.

Limp-Raise indicator shows how often a player who enters with a limp , answers to a raise with a re- raise. In case this indicator is from 2 % to 5 %, you need to be very careful since some of the players like to limp with monster hands, so if he makes a re – raise, the best decision is to fold.

Poker Statistics: Fold BB to Steal – how often the opponent allows his BB to be stolen

Fold BB to Steal – this indicator is similar to the previous one but it refers to BB (Big blind) position. Fold BB to Steal usually is 3 to 5 % lower than Fold SB to Steal. Bear in mind that you should not be too active in protecting the blinds until you get enough experience since you can lose a lot trying to re – steal.



Poker Tips

If you are looking for a game that offers the best possible odds and the most significant edge, you should get to know online Texas Holdem. At treasurepoker.com you get instant access to hundreds of free poker strategy articles for players of all skill levels.