Basic Draw Poker – Lesson #5: Strategy Tricks – Your winning chances

The percentage of winning with higher combinations according to the number of the opponents is shown in the following table:

Opponents

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Two pairs

92

84

78

72

66

61

56

94

89

86

80

76

72

68

97

94

91

88

85

83

80

Three of a kind

97

94

91

88

85

82

80

98

96

94

93

91

89

87

99

98

97

97

96

95

94

Straight

99

99

98

98

97

97

96

Flush

99,7

99,5

99

98,5

98

97,5

97

Full House

99,9

99,9

99,5

99,2

99

98,7

98,3

Four of a kind

99,99

99,95

99,9

99,85

99,8

99,75

99,7

Straight Flush

99,99

99,99

99,99

99,99

99,99

99,99

99,99

Royal Flush

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

These percentages may be used by you in order to determine the odds – 50% are approximately equal to odds 1  : 1, and 70% odds are equal to 7 : 3. You need to know the odds in order to determine the pot odds, which in turn determine the mathematical feasibility of all your bets and raises. If the odds are 1 : 2 and you think that your opponent has a low combination of cards (judging by your opponents actions), you may continue playing in case the ratio of the money in the pot and your next bet is more than 2 : 1. For instance, if there are $ 30 in the pot and your next bet is $ 10, you can bet. In this case, theoretically, you lose $ 10 in two cases and win $ 30 in one, having made a profit of $ 10. The greater the pot odds, the more you are free in your actions. Of course, you should not forget that the mathematical  probabilities in poker are just theory, that of course, in most cases are confirmed by practice but the real poker skill is when you notice the exceptions in time. When you start to play, you’ll notice that very often you need to play with at least two opponents with strong hands. In this case do not try to raise the bets. It is better to win a little than to lose a lot. In any case you need to compare the probability with the habits and the behavior of your opponents. If your opponent usually does not bluff and suddenly he raises, recalculate the probability again. If you opponent usually plays loose and aggressive, even if the pot odds aren’t good, your bets and raises have a good chance of winning.

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